Publications
Peer Reviewed Publications
Ariel Karlinsky & Moses Shayo (2026). Manipulation of Information in Times of Crisis: Evidence from Covid Excess Mortality. Journal of Economic Growth 31, 433–462. GitHub Repository
Prakash Kumar, Wilson Suraweera, Ariel Karlinsky & Prabhat Jha (2026). Cause-specific excess mortality in rural India during the COVID-19 pandemic 2020–2023: longitudinal analyses of deaths in 0.2 million rural health facilities. BMJ Open
Ariel Karlinsky, Tom Sadeh, Eran Yogev & Michael Sarel (2025). On Taxes and Wonders: Complete Fiscal Accounts at the Household Level in Israel. Israeli Economic Review. (Originally published in Hebrew as Karlinsky, Sadeh, Yogev & Sarel (2024). On Taxes and Wonders: Complete Fiscal Accounts at the Household Level in Israel. The Economic Quarterly 68 (1/4))
Ariel Karlinsky (2024). International Completeness of Death Registration. Demographic Research. GitHub Repository
Ariel Karlinsky & Orsola Torrisi (2023). The Casualties of War: An Excess Mortality Estimate of Lives Lost in the 2020 Nagorno-Karabakh Conflict. Population Research and Policy Review. GitHub Repository
William Msemburi, Ariel Karlinsky, Victoria Knutson, Serge Aleshin-Guendel, Somnath Chatterji & Jon Wakefield (2023). The WHO estimates of excess mortality associated with the COVID-19 pandemic. Nature. GitHub Repository
Victoria Knutson, Serge Aleshin-Guendel, Ariel Karlinsky, William Msemburi & Jon Wakefield (2023). Estimating Global and Country-Specific Excess Mortality During the COVID-19 Pandemic. The Annals of Applied Statistics
Mahan Ghafari, Oliver J. Watson, Ariel Karlinsky, Luca Ferretti & Aris Katzourakis (2022). A framework for reconstructing SARS-CoV-2 transmission dynamics using excess mortality data. Nature Communications. GitHub Repository
Ariel Karlinsky (2022). Estimating national excess mortality from subnational data: application to Argentina. Revista Panamericana de Salud Pública. GitHub Repository
Ariel Karlinsky & Dmitry Kobak (2021). Tracking excess mortality across countries during the COVID-19 pandemic with the World Mortality Dataset. eLife. GitHub Repository
Claude Berrebi, Ariel Karlinsky & Hanan Yonah (2020). Individual and Community Behavioral Responses to Natural Disasters. Natural Hazards 105, 1541–1569
Ariel Karlinsky & Michael Sarel (2020). Estimating the Cost of Raising Children in Israel. Israeli Economic Review 18(1). (Originally published in Hebrew as Cost Estimation of Raising Children in Israel. The Economic Quarterly 63 (3/4))
Work in Progress
Yehonatan Givati, Ariel Karlinsky & Barak Zur. War and Charitable Contributions: Evidence from October 7. Under Review
Ariel Karlinsky. Economic Information and Politics: Evidence from U.S. Data Revisions
Non-Peer Reviewed / Other Publications
Tom Sadeh & Ariel Karlinsky (2025). Military Service in Israel. The Jewish People Policy Institute (Hebrew)
Jonas Scholey, Ariel Karlinsky, Dmitry Kobak & Charles Tallack (2023). Conflicting COVID-19 excess mortality estimates. The Lancet
Ariel Karlinsky (2021). Ultra-Orthodox Men in Israel: Educational and Labor Market Outcomes From a Longitudinal Perspective. Kohelet Working Paper 70 (Hebrew)
Ariel Karlinsky (2021). Earned Income Tax Credit in Israel: Recipents and Amounts in Adminstrative vs. Survey data. Kohelet Policy Paper (Hebrew)
Ariel Karlinsky, Michael Sarel & Yoav Mazeh (2020). Child Support in Israel: Determination and Allocation between Parents. Kohelet Policy Paper 67 (Hebrew)